Stats
What is a beta coefficient? (April 4, 2006)
Category: Linear regression
When you are examining the relative impact of several independent variables on an outcome
variable, the estimated slopes may be deceptive. A variable with a wide range might have a
very flat slope compared to a variable with a large range, even though the former may be a
much more powerful predictor. You can see this intuitively by drawing a graph with a large
aspect ratio (much wider than it is tall) and comparing it with the same graph with a smaller
aspect ratio (closer to square). The slope looks so much bigger in the square graph, but
nothing has fundamentally changed. The statistics community has developed "beta coefficients"
that are the regression coefficients using a standardized variables. When you standardize,
you allow for a "fair" comparison of the predictive power of variables measured on disparate
ranges or even expressed in noncomparable units of measurement.
The great value of the beta-coefficient is that it expresses the "effect" of one
variable on another without regard to how differently the variables are scaled.
janda.org/c10/Lectures/topic10/R4-multivariate.htm.
The interpretation of a beta coefficient is slightly different than the interpretation of
a slope coefficient. The slope coefficient represents the estimated average change in the
outcome variable when the independent variable increases by one unit. The beta coefficient
represents the estimated average change in standard deviation units. So a beta coefficient of
0.5 means that every time the independent variable changes by one standard deviation, the
estimated outcome variable changes by half a standard deviation, on average.
It's impossible for a beta coefficient to be greater than one, and if you think about this
long enough, that is a good thing. If the outcome variable increased by two standard
deviations every time the independent variable increased by a single standard deviation, that
would eventually lead to the explosion of the universe.
In a simple linear regression model, the beta coefficient is just the correlation between
the independent variable and the outcome variable.
WARNING! In Finance, there is an alternate use of the term "beta coefficient" to
represent the level of risk associated with an individual stock or of a portfolio of
stocks. This is not the same thing as the beta coefficient described above.
07/08/2008.